Summary and Overview
The Modeling Strategy Task Team met in person June 18, following preparatory teleconferences in Apr/May. The team comprises ocean modelers from IOOS RAs and all major federal partners.
The evolving framework for the Strategy:
- Scope is principally regional and coastal IOOS, but will include relationships to global and basin scales and international partnerships
o model-based synthesis (data assimilation) to enhance the value of observations
o using models for observing system design and operation, and identify needs/gaps
- Review/inventory existing capabilities help identify R2O opportunities; this would become a live document to continually monitor capabilities and activities
- Propose priority areas for new modeling capabilities that will address user needs
- Propose mechanisms on how to engage the research community on these priorities
Priority research areas (draft) for next 5 years:
- Model coupling: physics/ecosystem, and land/ocean/ice connections and waves, and atmosphere; represent surface water flow, groundwater, wetlands and estuaries; and with waves to represent surf zone dynamics, geomorphology and coastal sediment dynamics.
- Enhancing data assimilation capabilities, using all observing platforms in IOOS including ecological data, for estimating ocean state conditions relevant to users
- Ensemble prediction (weather, inundation, navigation, climate downscaling).
- Climate downscaling, reanalysis state estimation with uncertainty.
- Developing pan-regional (across IOOS RA) cyberinfrastructure: unified data portal and comprehensive tools for interoperability, modeling metrics, and skills.
- Observing system design/operation: implement a project to demonstrate the iterative life cycle for designing, implementing, operating, evaluating, and improving COOS
To make progress on these priority areas:
- Convene a Joint Working Group for Ocean Prediction and Analysis (JWG-OPA) charged with enhancing communication and coordination between federal and academic partners. This idea is taken directly from the MAST 2008 recommendations.
- A “Center without Walls” academic/federal virtual collaboratory
- not geographically based – but a virtual environment
- inspired by ECMWF paradigm that brings dispersed researchers into a common environment to achieve collaborative progress on specific tasks over a limited time
- activities emphasizes building new collaborative teams and skill sets, and workforce capacity
- Use established funding mechanisms (RFPs, S&T centers, NOAA Coop. Centers etc.) are one mechanism to support priority research