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June 18, 2014 in person IOOS Modeling Task Team Meeting

Summary and Overview

The Modeling Strategy Task Team met in person June 18, following preparatory teleconferences in Apr/May. The team comprises ocean modelers from IOOS RAs and all major federal partners.

The evolving framework for the Strategy:

  • Scope is principally regional and coastal IOOS, but will include relationships to global and basin scales and international partnerships

o   model-based synthesis (data assimilation) to enhance the value of observations

o   using models for observing system design and operation, and identify needs/gaps

  • Review/inventory existing capabilities help identify R2O opportunities; this would become a live document to continually monitor capabilities and activities
  • Propose priority areas for new modeling capabilities that will address user needs
  • Propose mechanisms on how to engage the research community on these priorities

Priority research areas (draft) for next 5 years:

  1. Model coupling: physics/ecosystem, and land/ocean/ice connections and waves, and atmosphere; represent surface water flow, groundwater, wetlands and estuaries; and with waves to represent surf zone dynamics, geomorphology and coastal sediment dynamics.
  2. Enhancing data assimilation capabilities, using all observing platforms in IOOS including ecological data, for estimating ocean state conditions relevant to users
  3. Ensemble prediction (weather, inundation, navigation, climate downscaling).
  4. Climate downscaling, reanalysis state estimation with uncertainty.
  5. Developing pan-regional (across IOOS RA) cyberinfrastructure: unified data portal and comprehensive tools for interoperability, modeling metrics, and skills.
  6. Observing system design/operation: implement a project to demonstrate the iterative life cycle for designing, implementing, operating, evaluating, and improving COOS

To make progress on these priority areas:

  1. Convene a Joint Working Group for Ocean Prediction and Analysis (JWG-OPA) charged with enhancing communication and coordination between federal and academic partners. This idea is taken directly from the MAST 2008 recommendations.
  2. A “Center without Walls” academic/federal virtual collaboratory
  • not geographically based – but a virtual environment
  • inspired by ECMWF paradigm that brings dispersed researchers into a common environment to achieve collaborative progress on specific tasks over a limited time
  • activities emphasizes building new collaborative teams and skill sets, and workforce capacity
  1. Use established funding mechanisms (RFPs, S&T centers, NOAA Coop. Centers etc.) are one mechanism to support priority research